Odds

Top casinos
We couldn’t find any items available in your region
Please check back later
The House Edge
The odds for blackjack favor the house; however, the house edge for blackjack is lower than other games.
If a player and dealer were to stand on 17 and over but hit on 16 and under, they would both have a bust rate of 29%.
This would seem even; however, a dealer claims the bet for any player who busts, even if they bust themselves. This puts the odds back in the hands of the casino.
If a player follows a basic blackjack strategy and a few simple rules, the player can reduce the house edge to around 0.5% compared to an average of 6%
The Player Advantage
For a player to improve their odds in blackjack, they should follow a few simple rules.
♦️ Stand on 17 and over
♦️ Split Aces
♦️ Hit on a hand scoring 11 or less
♦️ Hit on a soft 16 or less
♦️ Never split 5s or 10s
♦️ Surrender hand if there is little to no chance of winning (if allowed by the casino)
♦️ Double down when possible (not all casinos allow double down, and some restrict to 10 and 11)
♦️ Remember blackjack pays a player 3:2
♦️ Remember the probability of a game is determined by the last game played, as cards are removed from the deck after each game, changing the odds.
Player's Probability to Bust
To be a successful blackjack player, it's essential to understand the odds and probability of bust to take one more card.
Below is a breakdown of probability based on your hand values. The higher the value, the higher the probability to bust.
♦️ Hand of 11 or less; probability is 0%
♦️ Hand of 12; probability is 31%
♦️ Hand of 13; probability is 39%
♦️ Hand of 14; probability is 56%
♦️ Hand of 15; probability is 58%
♦️ Hand of 16; probability is 62%
♦️ Hand of 17; probability is 69%
♦️ Hand of 18; probability is 77%
♦️ Hand of 19; probability is 85%
♦️ Hand of 20; probability is 92%
♦️ Hand of 21; probability is 100%
Dealer's Probability To Bust
It is just as essential in understanding a dealer's probability to bust as it is to understand a player's chances.
Below is a breakdown of the dealer's probability to bust with a soft 17 based on the dealer's first card shown.
- Dealer Ace: Stand 17% - Hit 20%
- Dealer 2: Stand 35% - Hit 36%
- Dealer 3: Stand 37% - Hit 38%
- Dealer 4: Stand 40% - Hit 40%
- Dealer 5: Stand 42% - Hit 42%
- Dealer 6: Stand 42% - Hit 44%
- Dealer 7: Stand 26% - Hit 26%
- Dealer 8: Stand 24%- Hit 24%
- Dealer 9: Stand 23% - Hit 23%
- Dealer 10: Stand 23% - Hit 23%
The dealer has the highest probability to bust on 6.
